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March 2, 2020

3/2/2020

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macro-monday

After one of the quickest and deepest sell-offs the market has ever seen, we anticipate a market rally.  We have learned that when the Chaikin Bull vs Bear ratio dips below .50 rally's become more likely.  We ended the week with a ratio of .09, one of the lowest readings we have seen since we began tracking back in 2014.  Granted we've been in a bull market since, we do expect a rally off the lows, whether or not it's sustained or the lows are in is a different story.   At the least, we believe the lows of last week will be tested, and COVID19 is not going away anytime soon. 
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It should be no surprise that money found it's way into healthcare last week amid the Covid19 sell-off.  Everything else was sold mostly indiscriminately,. including defensive yield seeking plays, like utilities.  We spent the bulk of our meeting today brainstorming how to forward test a dividend portfolio driven by the Chaikin Analytics platform in paper money.  If we are seeing the first scenes of what will end up being act 1 of a bear market, we want to be prepared to test a plan that will seek dividend above all else.  We hope to reveal are plan and rules soon.  Stay tuned. 
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