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Trading Meeting Friday June 30th

6/30/2017

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Power Gauge Ratios and Market Technicals continue to erode, but in the face of strong Money Flow.  The preponderance of the evidence suggests that we may be headed for a few months of sideways chop.  We found one short term trade we like.       Today's Video
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Trading Meeting June 28, 2017

6/28/2017

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Summer market chop or the start of a market trend reversal? It's Relative Strength Wednesday.  We take a deep dive into sector rotation analysis in today's video.  Watch Here. 
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Trading Meeting June 26

6/26/2017

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Complete market conditions review and a short term bullish trade we're trying to get filled on today.  Watch Video
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Trading Meeting, Wed June 21

6/21/2017

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It's relative Strength Wednesday, our weekly Chaikin-power look at Sector Rotation.  Where are we bullish? Where are we bearish and neutral?  Watch for for more and see what short terms trade(s) we're taking today.  Video Here
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Trading Meeting June 19, 2017

6/20/2017

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Here's a look at the fundamental and technical picture of the market according to Chaikin. Video Here
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Trading Meeting June 14th

6/14/2017

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Here's a link to this week's video on Relative Strength Analysis using Chaikin to determine our directional bias.  (Video Here)
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Thursday June 9th

6/9/2017

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Our weekly sector relative strength analysis and how we use Chaikin to perform a top-down analysis by sector, industry group and stock to form our bullish, bearish, short and longer term trading biases. Play Video 
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Trading Meeting Friday June 2nd

6/4/2017

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In Friday's trading meeting (video here), we performed a multi-time frame sector relative strength analysis. vs. the SPY to help shape our directional opinion of various parts of the market. . As usual, we started with the market itself , assessing its likelihood for further advancement with a check on the Powerbars and moving averages. Then we turned our attention to market sectors.   For Powerbars, which are weighted heavily in terms of fundamentals, we look for an aggregate ratio of bullish vs. bearish stocks be be OVER the powebpar ratio of stocks in the SPY to consider any sector bullish.  
  • For bullish option trades, which play out over approximately 45 days,  we look for the 1 month AND he 3 month performance of the underlying sector to be OVER the performance of the SPY in each ftimeframe.  So an OVER rating in Powerbards, 1 Mo and 3 Mo would prompt us to look for short term stock trades, long call options or short put vertical spreads or naked long call trades. 
  • For bullish trades that play out over the course of many months,  we look for OVER performance vs. the SPY in the 3 and 6 month time frames and in the Powerbars.  The Power Gauge itself  is meant to be predictive of an underlying stock's performance vs. the market over the coming 3 to 6 month.   So "Over" scores across the board in the chart below, would prompt us to look for trend trades in stocks, sold put or long call diagonal trades in options. 
  • We simply reverse our thinking for bearish trades.  But, with the overall market itself bullish right now, we have bullish bias in our overall portfolio.  Energy and Real Estate stocks, weak in all time frames and Powerbar ratios weaker than the market look like the best bets for any counter trend trades.
  • Right now, Utilities and Tech are strong in all key time frames and attractive for bullish trades  The next step is to look at underlying industry groups, then underlying stocks to populate a watchlist of uptrending stocks.  Then we wait for signals to pull the trigger. 
Like a pilot going through a checklist at takeoff, when all the lights are green the odds of a smooth flight are improved greatly and risks are reduced.  Chaikin Analytics is more than just an individual stock analysis tool.  Its aggregate metrics can be used like a weather forecast, so that we traders can be sure of bright and sunny skies even before we go wheels up on a trade. 

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