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Bearish Trade - DE

4/1/2015

 
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Today, we're attempting to sell a call spread above the market on a money flow sell signal.    Why we like the trade: 
  • Market conditions are neutral to bearish.  We need to hedge our long portfolio.
  • Deere is in a weak industry group
  • Money flow has turned negative
  • Price is below the long and short term Chaikin averages.
  • Relative strength agrees with the Power Gauge.  
  • The stock can rise a little, and we'd still potentially make our max gain.  That's the beauty of spread trading, and our risk of loss is defined.  
  • Options spreads are high probability trade.   We get a good win rate using Chaikin signals. 
  • Sell the May 90 Call; Buy the May 92.5 Call.  Max profit occurs when price stays below at the sold strike, plus the credit received, at expiration.
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